Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -185 ALA +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -2.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -3.4 (-0.4) | 151.7 (+3.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -4.8 (-1.8) | 155.0 (+0.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.8 (-1.8) | 154.5 (+0.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -4.5 (-1.5) | 154.4 (+0.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ALA 71 – 69 TENN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | TENN 79 – 73 ALA |
| Mar 3, 2024 | TENN 81 – 74 ALA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TENN 91 – 71 ALA |
| Feb 16, 2023 | TENN 68 – 59 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 90.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 21.9 (#6) | 22.6 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.09 (#3) | 4.08 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.17 (#3) | 4.95 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.651 (#5) | 0.678 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 43.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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