Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LAF -162 ARMY +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +6 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | LAF -4.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -4.0 (+2.0) | 144.7 (+15.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -2.8 (+3.2) | 145.6 (+14.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -4.1 (+1.9) | 142.1 (+17.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -4.1 (+1.9) | 143.5 (+16.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LAF 63 – 60 ARMY |
| Feb 26, 2025 | LAF 81 – 65 ARMY |
| Jan 15, 2025 | ARMY 70 – 68 LAF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LAF 64 – 56 ARMY |
| Jan 4, 2024 | LAF 52 – 47 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#318) | -12.7 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#330) | -2.00 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#341) | -2.70 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#327) | 0.431 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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