Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY +105 LAF -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -1.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -0.6 (-3.6) | 142.1 (-19.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -1.3 (-4.3) | 142.6 (-19.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -1.1 (-4.1) | 140.2 (-17.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -0.6 (-3.6) | 140.4 (-17.4) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LAF 83 – 77 ARMY |
| Feb 26, 2025 | LAF 81 – 65 ARMY |
| Jan 15, 2025 | ARMY 70 – 68 LAF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LAF 64 – 56 ARMY |
| Jan 4, 2024 | LAF 52 – 47 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#332) | -10.3 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#314) | -2.14 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#331) | -2.79 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#297) | 0.401 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.