Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | LAF -155 ARMY +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +5 | 99 | Won |
| Massey | LAF -1.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -0.9 (+5.9) | 122.3 (-23.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -0.8 (+5.8) | 120.9 (-21.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -1.2 (+6.2) | 123.6 (-24.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -1.2 (+6.2) | 123.6 (-24.6) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LAF 83 – 77 ARMY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | LAF 63 – 60 ARMY |
| Feb 26, 2025 | LAF 81 – 65 ARMY |
| Jan 15, 2025 | ARMY 70 – 68 LAF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LAF 64 – 56 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-11 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#338) | -9.4 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.49 (#358) | -2.25 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.80 (#359) | -2.66 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#347) | 0.385 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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