Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.0 Under |
| Money | ARMY +122 LAF -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -1.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -1.1 (-6.9) | 124.8 (-4.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -1.1 (-6.9) | 124.0 (-4.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -1.0 (-7.0) | 121.5 (-1.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -0.7 (-7.3) | 123.3 (-3.3) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LAF 83 – 77 ARMY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | LAF 63 – 60 ARMY |
| Feb 26, 2025 | LAF 81 – 65 ARMY |
| Jan 15, 2025 | ARMY 70 – 68 LAF |
| Jan 4, 2024 | LAF 52 – 47 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.9 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#323) | -8.1 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#351) | -1.47 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#346) | -1.84 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#356) | 0.440 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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