Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -130 LAF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -1.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -0.3 (+1.7) | 143.2 (-5.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -1.3 (+0.7) | 142.9 (-4.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -0.8 (+1.2) | 139.6 (-1.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -0.6 (+1.4) | 139.8 (-1.8) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LAF 83 – 77 ARMY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | LAF 63 – 60 ARMY |
| Feb 26, 2025 | LAF 81 – 65 ARMY |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LAF 64 – 56 ARMY |
| Jan 4, 2024 | LAF 52 – 47 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#293) | -5.5 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#246) | -1.34 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#276) | -1.39 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#239) | 0.429 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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