Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | EKU +110 LIP -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -3.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -2.3 (-0.7) | 156.0 (+1.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -1.6 (-1.4) | 155.3 (+1.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -2.2 (-0.8) | 152.6 (+4.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -2.5 (-0.5) | 154.7 (+2.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | LIP 75 – 61 EKU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | EKU 66 – 57 LIP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EKU 80 – 71 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LIP 81 – 67 EKU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | EKU 80 – 72 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.1 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#283) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#281) | -0.22 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#289) | -0.34 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#257) | 0.533 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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