Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -600 EKU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +9 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -15.3 (-24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -14.3 (-23.3) | 145.7 (+5.3) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -12.0 (-21.0) | 150.1 (+0.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -13.6 (-22.6) | 145.7 (+5.3) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -13.5 (-22.5) | 146.2 (+4.8) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIP 80 – 77 EKU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LIP 75 – 61 EKU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | EKU 66 – 57 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LIP 81 – 67 EKU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | EKU 80 – 72 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#76) | -4.4 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#121) | -0.87 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#95) | -0.82 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#133) | 0.455 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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