Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -110 LIP +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -6.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -8.2 (+16.2) | 150.3 (+1.7) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -6.0 (+14.0) | 150.2 (+1.8) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -7.4 (+15.4) | 146.5 (+5.5) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -8.6 (+16.6) | 148.6 (+3.4) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIP 80 – 77 EKU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LIP 75 – 61 EKU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | EKU 66 – 57 LIP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EKU 80 – 71 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LIP 81 – 67 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 11-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#300) | 2.2 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.71 (#346) | 0.65 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.90 (#351) | 0.66 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#335) | 0.538 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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