Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -270 EKU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -8.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -6.7 (+7.3) | 157.0 (-21.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -8.0 (+6.0) | 159.1 (-23.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -6.5 (+7.5) | 154.5 (-18.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -5.9 (+8.1) | 155.6 (-19.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIP 80 – 77 EKU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | EKU 66 – 57 LIP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EKU 80 – 71 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LIP 81 – 67 EKU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | EKU 80 – 72 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 83.1 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#184) | -6.3 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#191) | -1.33 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#188) | -1.69 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#106) | 0.446 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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