Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -163 EKU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -6.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -4.5 (+9.5) | 161.2 (-13.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -5.0 (+9.0) | 157.5 (-9.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -4.6 (+9.4) | 159.3 (-11.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -5.3 (+8.7) | 160.6 (-12.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIP 80 – 77 EKU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LIP 75 – 61 EKU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | EKU 66 – 57 LIP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EKU 80 – 71 LIP |
| Jan 5, 2024 | EKU 80 – 72 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 12-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#166) | -2.8 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#149) | -0.22 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#161) | -0.45 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#133) | 0.507 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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