Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | EKU +145 LIP -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +9 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -4.9 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -2.3 (+11.3) | 151.5 (-28.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -1.4 (+10.4) | 149.2 (-26.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -1.8 (+10.8) | 149.4 (-26.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -2.2 (+11.2) | 151.2 (-28.2) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIP 80 – 77 EKU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LIP 75 – 61 EKU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EKU 80 – 71 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LIP 81 – 67 EKU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | EKU 80 – 72 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#185) | 6.7 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#171) | 0.62 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#165) | 1.05 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#177) | 0.534 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.