Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | TOW -225 CAM +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -4.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -4.1 (-0.1) | 135.8 (+2.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -4.2 (-0.2) | 133.5 (+4.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -4.0 (-0.0) | 134.6 (+3.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -3.5 (+0.5) | 135.9 (+2.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | TOW 76 – 67 CAM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TOW 77 – 43 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#174) | -2.6 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#175) | -0.25 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#178) | -0.40 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#121) | 0.488 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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