Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | CAM +130 TOW -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -2.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -0.2 (-8.8) | 132.2 (+10.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -0.8 (-9.8) | 131.7 (+11.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -1.4 (-10.4) | 132.6 (+10.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -1.4 (-10.4) | 133.0 (+10.0) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TOW 71 – 67 CAM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TOW 77 – 43 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-1 |
| Away | 7-10 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#179) | -0.4 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#229) | 0.50 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#203) | 0.37 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#244) | 0.553 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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