Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | TOW -275 CAM +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +34 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -10.6 (+23.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -9.9 (+24.1) | 128.2 (-8.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -7.6 (+26.4) | 126.2 (-6.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -8.0 (+26.0) | 125.9 (-5.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -8.1 (+25.9) | 127.7 (-7.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TOW 71 – 67 CAM |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TOW 76 – 67 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#180) | -7.4 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#146) | -1.52 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#154) | -1.91 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#152) | 0.398 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 41.1% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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