Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -310 MOST +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +5 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -11.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -10.1 (-5.1) | 150.0 (+17.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -11.7 (-6.7) | 149.0 (+18.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -11.6 (-6.6) | 149.3 (+17.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -11.7 (-6.7) | 150.5 (+16.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | SHSU 80 – 71 MOST |
| Dec 10, 2023 | MOST 69 – 60 SHSU |
| Nov 18, 2021 | MOST 77 – 55 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#103) | -2.9 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#98) | -0.79 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#98) | -0.66 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#68) | 0.470 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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