Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | MOST -320 SHSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -8.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -6.4 (+2.6) | 150.5 (-21.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -7.5 (+1.5) | 147.2 (-18.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -8.1 (+0.9) | 149.0 (-20.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -8.1 (+0.9) | 150.4 (-21.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SHSU 86 – 81 MOST |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SHSU 80 – 71 MOST |
| Nov 18, 2021 | MOST 77 – 55 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#120) | -0.3 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#132) | -0.23 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#140) | -0.55 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#112) | 0.496 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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