Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +22 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -11.1 (-33.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -5.1 (-27.1) | 144.8 (-12.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -5.6 (-27.6) | 143.8 (-11.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -3.7 (-25.7) | 148.1 (-16.1) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SHSU 86 – 81 MOST |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SHSU 80 – 71 MOST |
| Dec 10, 2023 | MOST 69 – 60 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#253) | -4.4 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#312) | -2.56 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#315) | -4.24 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#329) | 0.200 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 12.5% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 79.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 48.1% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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