With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
Nicholls Colonels
68 – 60
FINAL Conference
SE Louisiana Lions
Southland Conference · David R. Stopher Gymnasium · February 28, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread NICH -4.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money NICH -192 / SELA +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total NICH win
Actual NICH +8 128 Won
Massey NICH -5.7 (+2.3) — —
Massey Totals — 141.2 (-13.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NICH -5.0 (+3.0) 139.4 (-11.4) 68% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NICH -4.8 (+3.2) 139.1 (-11.1) 71% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NICH -5.1 (+2.9) 139.1 (-11.1) 67% ✓
Baseline ML NICH -4.7 (+3.3) 140.0 (-12.0) 66% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 SELA 67 – 61 NICH
Feb 15, 2025 SELA 84 – 81 NICH
Dec 6, 2024 NICH 67 – 64 SELA
Mar 8, 2024 NICH 80 – 54 SELA
Jan 10, 2024 NICH 66 – 61 SELA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NICH SELA
Overall 14-19 9-22
Conference 12-10 6-16
Home 6-6 5-7
Away 7-12 2-15
Neutral 1-1 2-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 71.0 64.8
Avg Pts Against 75.7 71.3
Massey -4.8 (#241) -7.5 (#284)
Bradley-Terry -0.79 (#238) -1.83 (#324)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.18 (#249) -2.10 (#316)
RPI 0.482 (#223) 0.409 (#345)
Shooting & Four Factors NICH SELA
FG% 43.6% 41.0%
3PT% 34.1% 28.2%
REB / G 29.6 31.5
OREB / G 9.5 10.1
AST / TO 1.11 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 46.5%
TOV% 16.9% 18.6%
ORB% 26.6% 29.0%
FT Rate 22.8% 28.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.9% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 19.2%
DRB% 65.5% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 30.0% 30.9%

Game Analysis

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