Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Nicholls Colonels
68 60
FINAL Conference
SE Louisiana Lions
Southland Conference · David R. Stopher Gymnasium · February 28, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread NICH -4.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money NICH -192 / SELA +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total NICH win
Actual NICH +8 128 Won
Massey NICH -5.7 (+2.3)
Massey Totals 141.2 (-13.2)
Bradley-Terry 83%
Weighted B-T 82%
Efficiency Plus ML NICH -4.8 (+3.2) 139.1 (-11.1) 71%
Baseline Tuned ML NICH -5.1 (+2.9) 139.1 (-11.1) 67%
Baseline ML NICH -4.7 (+3.3) 140.0 (-12.0) 66%
Baseline Plus ML NICH -5.0 (+3.0) 139.4 (-11.4) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 SELA 6761 NICH
Feb 15, 2025 SELA 8481 NICH
Dec 6, 2024 NICH 6764 SELA
Mar 8, 2024 NICH 8054 SELA
Jan 10, 2024 NICH 6661 SELA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NICH SELA
Overall 14-19 9-22
Conference 12-10 6-16
Home 6-6 5-7
Away 7-12 2-15
Neutral 1-1 2-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 71.0 64.8
Avg Pts Against 75.7 71.3
Massey -4.8 (#241) -7.5 (#284)
Bradley-Terry -0.79 (#238) -1.83 (#324)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.18 (#249) -2.10 (#316)
RPI 0.482 (#223) 0.409 (#345)
Shooting & Four Factors NICH SELA
FG% 43.6% 41.0%
3PT% 34.1% 28.2%
REB / G 29.6 31.5
OREB / G 9.5 10.1
AST / TO 1.11 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 46.5%
TOV% 16.9% 18.6%
ORB% 26.6% 29.0%
FT Rate 22.8% 28.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.9% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 19.2%
DRB% 65.5% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 30.0% 30.9%

Game Analysis

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