Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -135 NICH +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -0.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -1.2 (+7.2) | 136.6 (-8.6) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -0.6 (+6.6) | 137.2 (-9.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -0.1 (+6.1) | 136.8 (-8.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.0 (+6.0) | 137.6 (-9.6) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SELA 84 – 81 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NICH 80 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NICH 66 – 61 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 12-10 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#262) | -3.5 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#326) | -0.40 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#313) | -0.63 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#332) | 0.487 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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