Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -175 SELA +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -9.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -5.2 (-0.2) | 139.8 (-12.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -4.2 (+0.8) | 138.2 (-11.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -5.2 (-0.2) | 137.9 (-10.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -5.2 (-0.2) | 138.2 (-11.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SELA 67 – 61 NICH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SELA 84 – 81 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NICH 80 – 54 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#220) | -7.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#225) | -0.94 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#249) | -0.95 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#189) | 0.447 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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