Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -150 NICH +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +26 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -2.2 (-28.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.8 (-26.8) | 143.6 (-9.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -0.6 (-26.6) | 142.6 (-8.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.5 (-26.5) | 141.9 (-7.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.5 (-26.5) | 144.2 (-10.2) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SELA 67 – 61 NICH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SELA 84 – 81 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NICH 66 – 61 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#284) | -5.7 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#275) | -0.46 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#295) | -0.87 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#211) | 0.504 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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