Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -125 NICH +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -3.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -2.1 (+0.9) | 141.4 (+23.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -2.6 (+0.4) | 141.0 (+24.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -2.3 (+0.7) | 139.8 (+25.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -2.3 (+0.7) | 141.1 (+23.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SELA 67 – 61 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NICH 80 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2024 | NICH 66 – 61 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#189) | -1.6 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#192) | -0.14 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#204) | -0.31 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#184) | 0.507 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.