Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | CARK -148 QUC +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | CARK -5.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -4.3 (+0.7) | 163.4 (-0.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -5.3 (-0.3) | 158.8 (+4.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -4.8 (+0.2) | 160.9 (+2.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -4.6 (+0.4) | 160.4 (+2.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | QUC 98 – 93 CARK |
| Jan 29, 2026 | CARK 100 – 90 QUC |
| Feb 19, 2025 | QUC 89 – 72 CARK |
| Feb 6, 2025 | QUC 63 – 47 CARK |
| Jan 25, 2024 | QUC 96 – 79 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 83.8 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#164) | -2.3 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#170) | -0.27 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#176) | -0.44 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#104) | 0.514 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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