Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | CARK -135 QUC +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +5 | 191 | Lost |
| Massey | CARK -2.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (+27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -2.2 (-7.2) | 155.5 (+35.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -1.6 (-6.6) | 156.8 (+34.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -2.2 (-7.2) | 154.3 (+36.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -2.2 (-7.2) | 154.4 (+36.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CARK 84 – 79 QUC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | CARK 100 – 90 QUC |
| Feb 19, 2025 | QUC 89 – 72 CARK |
| Feb 6, 2025 | QUC 63 – 47 CARK |
| Jan 25, 2024 | QUC 96 – 79 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 83.8 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#159) | -2.3 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#155) | -0.24 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#162) | -0.41 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#89) | 0.519 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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