Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CARK +290 QUC -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +16 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -6.1 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-39.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -5.1 (-10.9) | 146.5 (-36.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -5.5 (-10.5) | 146.4 (-36.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -6.5 (-9.5) | 143.7 (-33.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -5.8 (-10.2) | 145.8 (-35.8) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | QUC 98 – 93 CARK |
| Feb 28, 2026 | CARK 84 – 79 QUC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | CARK 100 – 90 QUC |
| Feb 19, 2025 | QUC 89 – 72 CARK |
| Jan 25, 2024 | QUC 96 – 79 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-16 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -12.1 (#338) | -2.8 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#352) | 0.01 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#351) | -0.31 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#359) | 0.499 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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