Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -1300 CARK +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +17 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -13.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -11.2 (+5.8) | 151.4 (+9.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -10.9 (+6.1) | 151.3 (+9.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -11.9 (+5.1) | 149.5 (+11.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -11.3 (+5.7) | 150.4 (+10.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | QUC 98 – 93 CARK |
| Feb 28, 2026 | CARK 84 – 79 QUC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | CARK 100 – 90 QUC |
| Feb 6, 2025 | QUC 63 – 47 CARK |
| Jan 25, 2024 | QUC 96 – 79 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-9 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#217) | -13.0 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#192) | -2.56 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#203) | -3.26 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#203) | 0.377 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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