Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -270 CARK +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +10 | 190 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -2.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (+28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -3.0 (-13.0) | 155.3 (+34.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -3.6 (-13.6) | 153.7 (+36.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -3.0 (-13.0) | 153.0 (+37.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -3.2 (-13.2) | 153.3 (+36.7) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | QUC 98 – 93 CARK |
| Feb 28, 2026 | CARK 84 – 79 QUC |
| Feb 19, 2025 | QUC 89 – 72 CARK |
| Feb 6, 2025 | QUC 63 – 47 CARK |
| Jan 25, 2024 | QUC 96 – 79 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#197) | -1.5 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#186) | -0.92 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#196) | -1.18 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#188) | 0.462 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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