And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -5.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Over
Money QUC -225 / CARK +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +17 175 Won
Massey QUC -7.9 (+9.1)
Massey Totals 161.1 (+13.9)
Bradley-Terry 87%
Weighted B-T 87%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -7.0 (+10.0) 156.4 (+18.6) 77%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -5.3 (+11.7) 154.5 (+20.5) 73%
Baseline ML QUC -5.6 (+11.4) 155.0 (+20.0) 76%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -5.5 (+11.5) 156.5 (+18.5) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 QUC 9893 CARK
Feb 28, 2026 CARK 8479 QUC
Jan 29, 2026 CARK 10090 QUC
Feb 19, 2025 QUC 8972 CARK
Feb 6, 2025 QUC 6347 CARK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC CARK
Overall 14-19 9-23
Conference 7-9 5-11
Home 11-3 5-10
Away 2-16 4-13
Neutral 1-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 77.3 70.2
Avg Pts Against 82.6 80.3
Massey -8.7 (#308) -12.9 (#340)
Bradley-Terry -0.79 (#254) -2.03 (#330)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.35 (#281) -2.46 (#326)
RPI 0.458 (#255) 0.389 (#337)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC CARK
FG% 41.4% 40.9%
3PT% 31.3% 35.1%
REB / G 35.5 33.7
OREB / G 10.8 10.3
AST / TO 0.97 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 47.7%
TOV% 17.3% 18.8%
ORB% 27.2% 28.0%
FT Rate 20.9% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.8% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 15.9%
DRB% 70.0% 65.5%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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