Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -225 CARK +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +17 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -7.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -5.5 (+11.5) | 156.5 (+18.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -7.0 (+10.0) | 156.4 (+18.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -5.3 (+11.7) | 154.5 (+20.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -5.6 (+11.4) | 155.0 (+20.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | QUC 98 – 93 CARK |
| Feb 28, 2026 | CARK 84 – 79 QUC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | CARK 100 – 90 QUC |
| Feb 19, 2025 | QUC 89 – 72 CARK |
| Feb 6, 2025 | QUC 63 – 47 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#308) | -12.9 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#254) | -2.03 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#281) | -2.46 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#255) | 0.389 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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