Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -175 SYR +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -4.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -4.6 (+0.4) | 150.7 (+20.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -4.4 (+0.6) | 151.7 (+19.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -4.3 (+0.7) | 149.5 (+21.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -4.5 (+0.5) | 149.9 (+21.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2024 | WAKE 81 – 71 SYR |
| Feb 4, 2024 | WAKE 99 – 70 SYR |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WAKE 77 – 74 SYR |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SYR 72 – 63 WAKE |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SYR 94 – 72 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#62) | 8.3 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#82) | 1.38 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#81) | 1.81 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#89) | 0.538 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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