Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -0.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -0.2 (+8.8) | 154.1 (-19.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -0.2 (+8.8) | 157.3 (-22.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -0.1 (+8.9) | 157.8 (-22.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -0.5 (+9.5) | 157.1 (-22.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WAKE 88 – 83 SYR |
| Dec 31, 2024 | WAKE 81 – 71 SYR |
| Feb 4, 2024 | WAKE 99 – 70 SYR |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WAKE 77 – 74 SYR |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SYR 94 – 72 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#122) | 6.2 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#117) | 1.33 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#107) | 1.84 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#143) | 0.541 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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