Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -450 SYR +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +29 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -7.8 (+21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -7.8 (+21.2) | 151.0 (+18.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -6.2 (+22.8) | 146.5 (+22.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -6.1 (+22.9) | 146.8 (+22.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -6.2 (+22.8) | 150.5 (+18.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WAKE 88 – 83 SYR |
| Dec 31, 2024 | WAKE 81 – 71 SYR |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WAKE 77 – 74 SYR |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SYR 72 – 63 WAKE |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SYR 94 – 72 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#41) | 6.9 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#66) | 1.89 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#56) | 2.25 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#66) | 0.622 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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