Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +22 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -3.0 (+25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -3.0 (+25.0) | 155.8 (+10.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -0.7 (+21.3) | 154.6 (+11.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -3.5 (+25.5) | 154.6 (+11.4) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -3.3 (+25.3) | 154.7 (+11.3) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WAKE 88 – 83 SYR |
| Dec 31, 2024 | WAKE 81 – 71 SYR |
| Feb 4, 2024 | WAKE 99 – 70 SYR |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WAKE 77 – 74 SYR |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SYR 72 – 63 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 18-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#90) | 12.1 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#136) | 2.16 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#137) | 2.74 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#131) | 0.577 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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