Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SYR +115 WAKE -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -4.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -1.7 (-11.7) | 141.3 (+10.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -2.3 (-12.3) | 138.3 (+13.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.9 (-11.9) | 139.4 (+12.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -2.3 (-12.3) | 142.2 (+9.8) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WAKE 88 – 83 SYR |
| Feb 4, 2024 | WAKE 99 – 70 SYR |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WAKE 77 – 74 SYR |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SYR 72 – 63 WAKE |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SYR 94 – 72 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#126) | 2.1 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#160) | 1.78 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#143) | 2.16 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#134) | 0.564 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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