Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -485 OKST +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +23 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -6.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -7.4 (+15.6) | 154.2 (+4.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CIN -7.3 (+15.7) | 152.8 (+6.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CIN -6.8 (+16.2) | 149.6 (+9.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -6.8 (+16.2) | 150.1 (+8.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2025 | CIN 87 – 68 OKST |
| Mar 8, 2025 | OKST 78 – 67 CIN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | OKST 80 – 76 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-3 | 15-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#46) | 8.8 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#58) | 1.94 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#51) | 2.49 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#81) | 0.550 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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