Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -600 OKST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -12.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -11.4 (-15.4) | 141.3 (+14.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CIN -10.0 (-14.0) | 139.7 (+16.3) | 84% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | CIN -10.8 (-14.8) | 140.0 (+16.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -10.4 (-14.4) | 140.3 (+15.7) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIN 91 – 68 OKST |
| Mar 11, 2025 | CIN 87 – 68 OKST |
| Mar 8, 2025 | OKST 78 – 67 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-5 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#27) | 4.5 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#56) | 0.24 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#50) | 0.60 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#60) | 0.490 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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