Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +230 CIN -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +19 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -7.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -5.7 (-13.3) | 135.4 (+19.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -6.0 (-13.0) | 135.8 (+19.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -5.8 (-13.2) | 136.7 (+18.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -5.4 (-13.6) | 136.2 (+18.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIN 91 – 68 OKST |
| Mar 8, 2025 | OKST 78 – 67 CIN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | OKST 80 – 76 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#98) | 12.0 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#86) | 1.51 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#83) | 1.95 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#176) | 0.538 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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