We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Big Sky Conference · ICCU Arena · February 28, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread IDHO -2.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money IDHO -135 / UNCO +114
Model Predictions
Spread Total IDHO win
Actual UNCO +9 143 Lost
Massey IDHO -2.8 (-11.8)
Massey Totals 156.6 (-13.6)
Bradley-Terry 56%
Weighted B-T 57%
Baseline Plus ML IDHO -3.0 (-12.0) 152.9 (-9.9) 66%
Model 4 ML IDHO -1.2 (-10.2) 149.8 (-6.8) 59%
Model 3 ML IDHO -2.6 (-11.6) 149.8 (-6.8) 64%
Baseline ML IDHO -2.3 (-11.3) 152.1 (-9.1) 60%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 30, 2026 UNCO 9183 IDHO
Feb 23, 2025 UNCO 9274 IDHO
Jan 24, 2025 IDHO 7776 UNCO
Feb 23, 2024 UNCO 7662 IDHO
Jan 27, 2024 UNCO 8968 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IDHO UNCO
Overall 21-15 20-12
Conference 9-9 10-8
Home 9-4 11-3
Away 7-9 8-7
Neutral 5-2 1-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.8 80.8
Avg Pts Against 74.1 78.1
Massey 0.3 (#161) 0.5 (#157)
Bradley-Terry -0.35 (#211) -0.10 (#174)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.32 (#191) -0.01 (#166)
RPI 0.481 (#228) 0.496 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors IDHO UNCO
FG% 43.9% 48.7%
3PT% 35.7% 34.7%
REB / G 35.7 35.8
OREB / G 10.1 9.1
AST / TO 1.10 1.41
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 55.9%
TOV% 15.7% 16.1%
ORB% 28.4% 27.9%
FT Rate 25.2% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 12.3%
DRB% 74.9% 75.8%
Opp FT Rate 29.7% 30.4%

Game Analysis

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