Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
Big Sky Conference · Bank of Colorado Arena · February 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UNCO -9.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money UNCO -500 / IDHO +360
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNCO win
Actual UNCO +18 166 Won
Massey UNCO -9.9 (+8.1) — —
Massey Totals — 160.4 (+5.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNCO -9.7 (+8.3) 154.6 (+11.4) 84% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNCO -9.5 (+8.5) 153.4 (+12.6) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNCO -10.9 (+7.1) 155.8 (+10.2) 84% ✓
Baseline ML UNCO -9.7 (+8.3) 156.2 (+9.8) 84% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO
Jan 30, 2026 UNCO 91 – 83 IDHO
Jan 24, 2025 IDHO 77 – 76 UNCO
Feb 23, 2024 UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO
Jan 27, 2024 UNCO 89 – 68 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNCO IDHO
Overall 25-10 14-19
Conference 15-3 8-10
Home 13-2 8-6
Away 9-7 5-11
Neutral 3-1 1-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 79.4 72.1
Avg Pts Against 74.5 76.6
Massey 1.5 (#137) -5.2 (#249)
Bradley-Terry 0.49 (#131) -0.92 (#254)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.61 (#120) -1.14 (#258)
RPI 0.520 (#142) 0.453 (#270)
Shooting & Four Factors UNCO IDHO
FG% 49.7% 44.2%
3PT% 35.7% 35.2%
REB / G 33.6 32.1
OREB / G 7.9 9.7
AST / TO 1.43 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.6% 52.6%
TOV% 15.5% 18.3%
ORB% 24.7% 29.3%
FT Rate 24.1% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 54.1%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 16.2%
DRB% 77.4% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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