Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -500 IDHO +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +18 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -9.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -10.9 (+7.1) | 155.8 (+10.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UNCO -9.5 (+8.5) | 153.4 (+12.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UNCO -9.7 (+8.3) | 154.6 (+11.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -9.7 (+8.3) | 156.2 (+9.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UNCO 91 – 83 IDHO |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IDHO 77 – 76 UNCO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UNCO 89 – 68 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#137) | -5.2 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#131) | -0.92 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#120) | -1.14 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#142) | 0.453 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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