Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +230 UNCO -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +21 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -4.6 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -5.1 (-15.9) | 151.0 (+6.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -5.3 (-15.7) | 149.5 (+7.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -5.1 (-15.9) | 152.4 (+4.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -5.5 (-15.5) | 151.1 (+5.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UNCO 91 – 83 IDHO |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNCO 92 – 74 IDHO |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IDHO 77 – 76 UNCO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-10 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#318) | -1.1 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#300) | 0.18 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#310) | 0.20 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#322) | 0.513 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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