All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Big Sky Conference · Bank of Colorado Arena · January 30, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UNCO -2.5 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money UNCO -162 / IDHO +136
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNCO win
Actual UNCO +8 174 Won
Massey UNCO -2.8 (+5.2)
Massey Totals 158.3 (+15.7)
Bradley-Terry 52%
Weighted B-T 54%
Efficiency Plus ML UNCO -2.3 (+5.7) 149.6 (+24.4) 64%
Baseline Tuned ML UNCO -1.6 (+6.4) 148.4 (+25.6) 58%
Baseline ML UNCO -1.6 (+6.4) 148.9 (+25.1) 58%
Baseline Plus ML UNCO -2.6 (+5.4) 153.2 (+20.8) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 UNCO 7667 IDHO
Feb 23, 2025 UNCO 9274 IDHO
Jan 24, 2025 IDHO 7776 UNCO
Feb 23, 2024 UNCO 7662 IDHO
Jan 27, 2024 UNCO 8968 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNCO IDHO
Overall 20-12 21-15
Conference 10-8 9-9
Home 11-3 9-4
Away 8-7 7-9
Neutral 1-2 5-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.8 75.8
Avg Pts Against 78.1 74.1
Massey -0.6 (#178) -0.3 (#172)
Bradley-Terry -0.55 (#219) -0.07 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.57 (#209) -0.09 (#173)
RPI 0.463 (#239) 0.482 (#215)
Shooting & Four Factors UNCO IDHO
FG% 47.8% 43.2%
3PT% 35.3% 34.4%
REB / G 36.0 35.1
OREB / G 9.8 10.2
AST / TO 1.32 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.4% 51.8%
TOV% 17.0% 16.0%
ORB% 29.4% 28.9%
FT Rate 20.3% 28.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 12.8% 15.9%
DRB% 74.9% 72.5%
Opp FT Rate 30.1% 28.7%

Game Analysis

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