Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -162 IDHO +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +8 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -2.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -2.6 (+5.4) | 153.2 (+20.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -2.3 (+5.7) | 149.6 (+24.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -1.6 (+6.4) | 148.4 (+25.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -1.6 (+6.4) | 148.9 (+25.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNCO 92 – 74 IDHO |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IDHO 77 – 76 UNCO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UNCO 89 – 68 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#178) | -0.3 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#219) | -0.07 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#209) | -0.09 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#239) | 0.482 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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