Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +145 UNCO -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -2.7 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -3.4 (+4.4) | 154.1 (-1.1) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -3.3 (+4.3) | 151.2 (+1.8) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -3.9 (+4.9) | 153.8 (-0.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -3.4 (+4.4) | 154.5 (-1.5) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UNCO 91 – 83 IDHO |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNCO 92 – 74 IDHO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UNCO 89 – 68 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#243) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#250) | 0.94 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#244) | 1.06 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#280) | 0.528 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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