Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -750 VMI +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -12.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -11.6 (-4.6) | 148.1 (+16.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -11.8 (-4.8) | 148.4 (+16.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -11.7 (-4.7) | 147.1 (+17.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -11.1 (-4.1) | 149.7 (+15.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | VMI 79 – 71 UTC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UTC 91 – 70 VMI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UTC 91 – 66 VMI |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UTC 88 – 84 VMI |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UTC 109 – 61 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#292) | -18.0 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#301) | -3.06 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#298) | -3.70 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#289) | 0.369 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.