Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | VMI +360 UTC -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +21 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -7.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -7.0 (-14.0) | 152.3 (+8.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -7.2 (-13.8) | 148.2 (+12.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -7.4 (-13.6) | 150.2 (+10.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -6.8 (-14.2) | 151.2 (+9.8) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UTC 86 – 79 VMI |
| Jan 3, 2026 | VMI 79 – 71 UTC |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UTC 91 – 66 VMI |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UTC 88 – 84 VMI |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UTC 109 – 61 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#306) | 2.1 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#288) | 0.90 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#273) | 1.03 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#291) | 0.556 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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