Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | STET +164 FGCU -198 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -3.8 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -2.8 (+17.8) | 150.7 (-9.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -4.5 (+19.5) | 149.6 (-8.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -2.2 (+17.2) | 147.5 (-6.5) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -2.4 (+17.4) | 151.3 (-10.3) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FGCU 78 – 76 STET |
| Feb 21, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 80 STET |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 56 STET |
| Feb 17, 2024 | STET 61 – 60 FGCU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | FGCU 80 – 56 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -12.1 (#330) | -5.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#319) | -1.10 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#310) | -1.20 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#332) | 0.453 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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