Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -700 STET +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -10.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -8.8 (-6.8) | 148.9 (+5.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -9.0 (-7.0) | 147.5 (+6.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -8.4 (-6.4) | 147.3 (+6.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -9.2 (-7.2) | 148.4 (+5.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | STET 78 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 80 STET |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 56 STET |
| Feb 17, 2024 | STET 61 – 60 FGCU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | FGCU 80 – 56 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#241) | -12.7 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#281) | -1.63 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#257) | -2.02 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#289) | 0.414 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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