Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -1600 STET +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +26 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -17.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -13.7 (+12.3) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -12.6 (+13.4) | 145.0 (-7.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -13.7 (+12.3) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -13.4 (+12.6) | 146.7 (-8.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | STET 78 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FGCU 78 – 76 STET |
| Feb 21, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 80 STET |
| Feb 17, 2024 | STET 61 – 60 FGCU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | FGCU 80 – 56 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 81.9 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#149) | -13.0 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#168) | -2.20 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#173) | -2.96 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#167) | 0.404 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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