Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -120 STET +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +24 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | STET -0.9 (+24.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -1.0 (+25.0) | 141.0 (-5.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -1.3 (+25.3) | 141.8 (-5.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -1.3 (+25.3) | 143.3 (-7.3) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -1.3 (+25.3) | 141.8 (-5.8) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | STET 78 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FGCU 78 – 76 STET |
| Feb 21, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 80 STET |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 56 STET |
| Feb 17, 2024 | STET 61 – 60 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#282) | -1.6 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#288) | 0.28 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#298) | -0.09 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#289) | 0.527 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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