Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | STET +550 FGCU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +3 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -11.8 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -11.1 (+8.1) | 144.1 (+18.9) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -10.8 (+7.8) | 141.9 (+21.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -10.8 (+7.8) | 143.5 (+19.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -11.1 (+8.1) | 143.9 (+19.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | STET 78 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FGCU 78 – 76 STET |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 56 STET |
| Feb 17, 2024 | STET 61 – 60 FGCU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | FGCU 80 – 56 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#355) | 0.1 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#342) | -0.10 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#346) | -0.18 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#341) | 0.503 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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