Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -148 MSM +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -3.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -2.8 (+5.2) | 140.5 (+5.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -1.8 (+6.2) | 143.6 (+2.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -1.2 (+6.8) | 142.2 (+3.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -1.6 (+6.4) | 143.6 (+2.4) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | SHU 87 – 80 MSM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | MSM 73 – 71 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2022 | SHU 77 – 65 MSM |
| Jan 22, 2022 | MSM 98 – 59 SHU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | MSM 76 – 64 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#294) | -8.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#279) | -0.95 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#275) | -1.38 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#250) | 0.468 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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